Books

Books
Books written by Ray Sullivan
Showing posts with label fire. Show all posts
Showing posts with label fire. Show all posts

Friday, 23 November 2012

Black Friday Sees Tablets Take the Lead

According to some analysts, the Black Friday sales saw tablets overtake laptop sales for the first time in the US.  Of course, we'll have to wait for the sales figures to be returned and ratified but the projections are indicating a 3:2 ratio.

I can't say I'm surprised and if you've been reading my blog for the last year you would know why - I've been saying that this is going to be the year of the tablet, forecasting a surge before the holidays since last January.

And of course, it's not only the Apple iPad that is pushing the concept forward now - over 100 million units strong - but also the iPad mini, the Amazon Fire and the Google Nexus.  The consumer is spoilt for choice across all price points as we lunge towards the Christmas period.

But it's not just the sexy attractiveness of the tablets that has pushed them ahead of the laptops, nor the convenience of using a hand-held device anywhere to do, well, pretty much anything apart from word processing, crunching numbers in a spreadsheet and printing off the results.  So, OK, tablets still have a few challenges to overcome but they're pretty cool and great fun to use.  They're also great for reading books and magazines as well as watching movies so their utility is pretty much unbeatable.

The real kicker in the laptop/tablet race that I hadn't realised was taking place is that we all pretty much have laptops, netbooks and even some dust gathering desktops at home already.  Outside of the serious gamer applications, the laptops are now keeping pace with technology better than ever.  Sure, Microsoft are still trying to develop operating systems that suck every last megabyte of RAM, ROM and hard drive capacity but most of us are finding that whatever legacy version we are using is adequate, or have moved over to Linux.  Even the old chestnut of needing to upgrade on a regular basis because of hard drive capacity being overtaken by software and file storage is becoming a thing of the past as the low cost flash drives and cloud based storage becomes mainstream.

So the real reason that tablets overtook laptops is that everyone has a laptop or two - some new, many getting on a bit (maybe two years' old?), grandparents have them, for goodness sake and even their grandchildren have their cast-offs (grief).  But not everyone has a tablet, not yet. OK, some folks will be on their second iPad - some will be on their fourth, for no other reason that there have been four iterations, but despite Apple's best endeavours there are plenty of people who don't have a tablet yet.

I knew that tablets would take off, the Kindle Fire last year sounded the challenge loud and clear.  I've been quite upfront with my contention that this will be both the best year for dedicated eReaders and their peak as well, but I didn't guess that laptop sales would be a casualty.  But I guess when we look back, it was inevitable.


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I can be followed on Twitter too - @RayASullivan
or on Facebook - use raysullivan.novels@yahoo.com to find me

Why not take a look at my books and read up on my Biog here

Want to see what B L O'Feld is up to?  Take a look at his website here

Worried/Interested in the secretive world of DLFs?  Take a look at this website dedicated to DLFs here, if you dare!

Monday, 12 November 2012

Who Wants to Live Forever?

Since Gutenberg had his big idea, books have changed lives.  They've imparted wisdom, humour, excitement and pleasure.  There have been a few dogs along the way, but that's art for you.  With the exception of a few notable examples, most of the books printed between the invention of the press and a few years ago have quietly found their way to landfill, recycling or have been used as kindling in long dark winters.

Because once we've read a book, with few exceptions, we don't revisit it.  Historically a printed copy has been passed around the family and friends before being thrown away; some copies have been read and re-read due to being stored in a library, but ultimately most of the books ever printed don't exist anymore.  And those that do are probably sat on bookshelves unread for decades and will remain there until the ultimate ignominy - the house clearance that marks the final act in our lives.

While I'm sure someone from the British Library can hazard a guess at the total number of unique books published ever and can probably point you towards actual copies of many of them, in reality the majority of books from the distant through to recent past don't exist at all any more.  One of the main reasons for this is because printing books was an expensive process, actually still is, and consequently once a book fell below a  predetermined level of sales it wasn't printed any more.

So, at any given point in time there were only so many titles in print and for a long time there have been more titles out of print than in.  But now we're in the eBook era and any books published electronically will, technically, live forever.  Is that a good thing?  Is it even desirable?

Sure, many books will date.  Some will date within days of publication, others will last a few years.  Some, very few I suspect, will become classics like the works of Austin and Dickens.  But all will be available forever.  Many will appear timeless because they are deliberately locked in a specified period in time, such as Nineteen Fifties Americana gumshoe novels, others will be placed in an undefined 'near future' that is never reached.  Detective stories, high adventures, pure romance, we'll always want them.  Language will evolve to make the older works sound strange, archaic - and of course those books that try to predict the future will always be hopelessly way off beam when compared to the true passage of technology development - but a yarn is a yarn, right?

So some books, more than traditionally considered normal, will still be available many years after the author has shrugged his or her mortal coil and may, possibly, satisfy a whole new generation of readers.  But we're witnessing an interesting phenomenon right now that I believe is only going to increase - not only has every person got a book inside of them, as the adage goes, they all seem to be publishing the bloody things .  So there's a lot of new books hitting the eBookstalls every day.  Some are poor, some are OK, many are damned fine reads and a very small number, in strict proportion to how it has always been, are exceptional.

So this is good, yes?  Well, maybe.  I don't know about you, but I find looking for books to read to be a bit of a chore, trawling through lists of books on Amazon or Smashwords or whichever eBookseller you prefer. Sure, we're given tools to help us choose.  Amazon have a daily deal which increasingly seems to be pushing books I wouldn't impose on my worst enemy's Kindle.  I have a theory that right now they are pushing KDP Select titles, but can't prove that at the moment.

All the eBook sellers provide tools to filter down, but these are pretty blunt tools.  Even if I knew what my favourite sub-genre was, I'd probably name it something different to whatever Amazon and co decide to call it.  I'm not even sure what sub-genre my own books should belong in, and I know them as well as anyone could, so I have difficulty in deciding on what the correct sub-genre I want to read from is called.  For the record, I think my non comedic novels are science based thriller or adventure stories, but that usually translates as Sci-Fi.  Sure, some of the science I use is theoretical in nature, but it really does occupy and feed real clever people around the planet, other speculative science I use is practical and being developed as we speak.  But the science is only part of the vehicle for the stories, so perhaps the science bit is a red herring.  Perhaps I ought to classify my books by what they're not - they're not vampire teenage romance fantasy porn, for example.

But I digress.  The point is, finding a good book is difficult and with the immortality we're facing for books, is going to get a whole lot harder.  I think we can discount best seller lists if we want to find something that is good and new, even if we can trust them.  Let's face it, the likes of Apple and Amazon are hardly falling over themselves to qualify how books get on the lists.  Then there's user reviews.  Some are really helpful, some are highly questionable.  Most probably don't accurately reflect the general opinion, certainly I've found many reviews to be more generous about a book than I would be, while others are unnecessarily harsh.

Trawling through the lists of books is pointless; a great title and superb cover may draw you to read the blurb, but that is still a terrible way to choose a book, let alone judge it.  Titles and covers are art forms in their own right and the skills to write a really good blurb are way different to the skills needed to write a killer novel - many authors will readily agree that the three hundred word blurb took proportionately longer to write than the three hundred thousand word opus it describes.  But a good title, great cover and superlative blurb do not guarantee a half decent book and I suspect I've breezed past many a great book in a dismissive manner because I've made a shallow negative judgement about the title or cover.

Personal recommendation from someone you know and trust has got to be a powerful and accurate way of finding books, but finding that person is always going to be a challenge.  Finding that a person you know and trust also likes the same kind of book as yourself is a coincidence worthy of an eBook plotline, in fact.

So, how do we find the books we want to read?  I think that there needs to be a tool that provides a better way of drilling down, something that pulls the essence of a book out in a way that helps us to decide whether it is for us or not.  I don't know the answer but I think I stumbled across a possible way forward the other day.  I noticed a Tweet from a fellow author who asked whether his writing style was more like John Le Carre or Graham Greene.  I nearly replied with 'I don't know, which was the most arrogant?' but I resisted.  However there is mileage in this approach.  All books have something in common with other, previous books.  Think of any really successful and popular book and it is likely that you can relate it to another book, often by an earlier author.  It's all about standing on the shoulders of giants, if we're sensible and read widely enough.

My idea is that we start a database that readers use to map books together by - not just the best and most successful but any that they've read that they think have a positive link to other books they've read.  Not copies but in style, genre, pace, detail.  Initially the list will be worthless, but over time, with enough help from the many good readers on this planet a web will form and once you've read a book and enjoyed it you could follow the book's web and find out what other books are considered to be related in a positive way.

By doing this we can build a map of the world of books that may make their immortality worthwhile.  I won't be constructing this database, by the way, because I'm too busy right now writing my latest book about a seventeen year old blood sucking nymphomaniac with a penchant for humping the occupants of middle for diddle earth.  And I've no idea if it will be linked to any other books that have passed before it, but it's possible!

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I can be followed on Twitter too - @RayASullivan
or on Facebook - use raysullivan.novels@yahoo.com to find me

Why not take a look at my books and read up on my Biog here

Want to see what B L O'Feld is up to?  Take a look at his website here

Worried/Interested in the secretive world of DLFs?  Take a look at this website dedicated to DLFs here, if you dare!

Thursday, 8 November 2012

Which e-Ink eReader to Buy?

A couple of days ago I posted an article about choosing a mini tablet.  Clearly tablet computing is going to be the future for some time, so where does that leave dedicated eReading devices?

Well, dedicated eReading devices, using e-Ink, are essentially one trick ponies that happen to do their trick particularly well.  Unlike tablets, these devices can be read in strong sunlight easily.  Probably a big deal in California, not so important in north Wales.  They also have superb battery lives, needing charging once a month or every two months for some models.  This can actually be a weakness as well as a strength as the time between charges is so infrequent you can forget to charge up before an extended journey.  Although the tablet devices really need to be charged up daily or every other day, at least you get in the habit of ensuring they have a full charge before embarking on a train journey.

However they are superb at the trick they do and I feel that there is a place for these devices for years to come.  I suspect I will be using my 2 year old Kindle for years, despite having a Nexus 7 as my go-to tablet.  This December will almost certainly see these devices reach an all time high in sales and my personal take is that this will be the peak of those sales.  I think there will always be a place for them, but many people will choose to buy a tablet computer to use as their eReader in future and will not see a need for a dedicated device as well.  Probably a poor decision, but one people will inevitably make.

Anyway, if you are in the market for a dedicated eReading device, for yourself or as a gift, this is the time to look around.  There are more of these devices on sale now than ever before, but I'm going to concentrate on a small number, namely the Kindle family, the recently launched Nook eReaders, and Kobo eReaders.  All of these have UK based eBookstores you can wirelessly download eBooks from.

Here's some of the features you can expect to find on these machines.

e-Ink screens.  Basically these screens require very little power to display their content, the words on the eBooks you're reading.  They achieve this by only needing power to change the screen; once the screen has been changed the image on there remains indefinitely until power is applied again.  Not only does this mean that the devices only need charging infrequently, they read pretty much like traditional books too.  But as well as looking like books, they share their limitations also - like books they depend on external illumination such as sunlight or artificial light.  Some models are now being marketed utilising built in lights which obviously affect the battery life, but do allow you to read in the dark.  

Models featuring built in lights include the Amazon Kindle Paperwhite, the Kobo Glo and the Nook Simple Touch Glolight.

Verdict:  e-Ink screens are now common technology and all three manufacturers have developed lit screens.  Illuminated screens push the unit price up and affect the frequency of battery charges.  All e-Ink screens are designed to have the font size changed to suit the reader, so are suitable for all readers regardless of eyesight.

eBook formats.  All of the models featured will support multiple eBook formats, but in reality there's only two that we need to consider for most purposes.  Amazon devices read their own propriety format AZW, which is a permutation of the MOBI format and in fact the Kindle will read both of these.  What it won't read is the EPUB format, which is the industry standard and the one used by all of the other eReaders featured in this article which, in turn, will not read the Amazon format.  If it wasn't for the phenomenal success of the Kindle the only format anyone would bother about is the EPUB, however nobody can afford to discount the Amazon standard.

Verdict:  Format choices determine whether you are with Amazon or not.  If you choose Amazon you can still buy many of the books currently listed on Amazon through Smashwords in the MOBI format, however you will have to transfer them across from a PC manually.

Size.  As well as being very thin, eReaders are relatively compact and the screen sizes tend to mirror popular paperback book sizes.  In fact all the eReaders in this article are 6 inch screens apart from one, the Kobo Mini, which is a more compact 5 inches.

Verdict.  Regardless of whether size matters, 6 inches is pretty much standard in this field.  

Weight.  One area that eReaders score significantly over traditional books is weight.  The lightest Kindle is the basic Kindle at 170 grams.  The 3G version, which incorporates a keyboard, weighs in at 274 grams.  The two Paperwhite models, one with 3G, one without, come in at 222 grams and 213 grams respectively.  Over at Kobo, the Mini, unsurprisingly, weighs in at a minimal 134 grams.  Next in weight terms are the Touch and the Glolight models, both at 185 grams.  Finally the Kobo wireless weighs in at 221 grams.  The Nook Simple Touch weighs in at 212 grams while the Simple Touch Glowlight oddly reduces the weight down to 197 grams.  Perhaps the light is dual function!

Verdict.  If weight is a driving parameter then the models to look at, in ascending order of weight, are: Kobo Mini, Basic Kindle, Kobo Touch and Glolight, Nook Simple Touch Glowlight, Nook Simple Touch, Kindle Paperwhite, Kobo Wireless, Kindle Paperwhite 3G and finally the Kindle 3G.

Touch-screen or passive?  Initially eReaders were all very passive in screen terms.  However with the advent of smart phones and their touchy-feely screens expectations have been raised.  Some eReaders are controlled by a five way controller or via a keyboard, others have touchscreens. In fact, all of the eReaders mentioned above have touch-screens apart from the Basic Kindle and the Kindle Keyboard.

Verdict.  Pretty much all the modern devices have touch-screen technology.  The two Kindle devices are pretty much legacy items that probably will bite the dust after the Christmas selling period and this will become a moot discussion point.

Connectivity.  All of the models here can connect to the internet wirelessly.  Two of the Kindle devices can also connect using 3G, you pay a premium for the facility, but it is a one-off cost.  All have USB or micro USB connectivity and allow your to connect your eReader to a computer to transfer eBooks.

Verdict.  3G connectivity sounds useful, but probably isn't that important to most people, however is essential to anyone who wants an eReader but doesn't want or cannot get WiFi.  The 3G variants push the price up so high it becomes a marginal call whether to buy a tablet instead.

Price.  This is a moving feast as the three companies attempt to stay competitive.  Also, there can be variations between different retailers, so shop around.  In ascending price order, here are the prices for the models discussed so far: Kobo Mini - £60; Basic Kindle - £69; Nook Simple Touch - £79;Kobo Touch - £80; Kobo Glolight - £100; Nook Simple Glowlight - £109; Kindle Paperwhite - £109; Kindle 3G - £149; Kindle Paperwhite 3G - £169

Verdict:  The smallest and most lightly loaded model is also the cheapest, so at least that's fair enough.  The two 3G models are the two most expensive by a large margin.  They may suit some buyers, but most people would be better considering a full blown mini tablet instead when considering paying that much.  The rest of the models sit in a £30 band. It looks like Kobo have the edge, financially, for the lit versions and Amazon are leading the fiscal pack for the unlit versions, but don't forget that the basic Kindle isn't touch screen.  For the basic unlit touch screen race there's only £1 between the Nook and the Kobo, so the look and feel of the one you favour has to be worth more than that difference.

Final verdict.  Cheap and cheerful, mid priced and top end costs, the dedicated eReaders have competition at every step of the way.  My advice is to decide on the band you want to go for and then compare the actual models in your hands.  Aesthetics, as with all devices these days, is a personal but critical consideration.  And don't forget to watch out for discounting - the competition over the next few weeks is likely to be fierce.

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I can be followed on Twitter too - @RayASullivan
or on Facebook - use raysullivan.novels@yahoo.com to find me

Why not take a look at my books and read up on my Biog here

Want to see what B L O'Feld is up to?  Take a look at his website here

Worried/Interested in the secretive world of DLFs?  Take a look at this website dedicated to DLFs here, if you dare!


Sunday, 28 October 2012

eBooks - Buy or Rent?

Regular readers of this blog will know that I'm a fan of eBooks.  I'm also a bit of a biased observer, given that I have an eBook or six up for sale, but at least I'm up front about that.  I've mooted on several occasions that the days of brick and mortar bookshops are numbered, save for a few specialists, and that we'll be reading our newspapers and magazines on tablets in a few short years.  OK, the timing is part speculation, part based on research in the US.  And the bit about tablets is based on the technological flavour of the moment - there could be some fantastic evolutionary development just around the corner but I suspect the tablet has some distance to run yet.

However it seems there's a fly in the ointment that may play into the hands of the naysayers of eBooks.  It's about what you actually buy when you pay for an eBook.  Or a digital download of a music track, or a download of a movie or computer game.  Now, when I buy a paperback - I do still now and then, just to check out the alternative technology - I can pop it in my bookcase and let other family members read it too. Friends as well, at a push. I don't have the right to photocopy the book and sell that on, nor do I have the right to type the story out and sell it as my own.  But I can let others read it.

When someone downloads one of my eBooks I kind of assume they have similar rights, just as I do when I download eBooks from Amazon or Smashwords.  But it seems that may not be the case.  Recently a Norwegian lady found that Amazon froze her access to her Kindle books after her Kindle developed a fault. Somewhere between her reporting the fault and Amazon replacing the Kindle they decided for some undisclosed reason that she had breached their rules.  That meant that she couldn't access her books on her iPad through the Kindle App and of course, as her Kindle was Kaput she couldn't read them there, either.  Initially Amazon stonewalled her but, in the face of a very public complaint reinstated her access.  There is a technological answer to this, though - run your Kindle books through Calibre to remove the Digital Rights Management code and store a copy somewhere safe.

This isn't isolated.  There was a situation over a year ago where Amazon were slapped for letting someone sell books through the Kindle store that didn't belong to them - as I say, people don't have the right to type out someone else's story and sell it as their own.  Amazon responded by, amongst other things, sucking books off Kindles that had been bought in good faith.  A bit harsh, seeing as the mistake was essentially Amazon's and to be fair they have promised not to do that again.   The point is, once you sync with Amazon, or Apple, or Kobo etc, they can re-write your digital library according to their wishes.

It's even bigger than eBooks - as if anything could be bigger!  No other than Bruce Willis, the star of the Die Hard series, is challenging the rights of Apple to dictate that when he dies, his iTunes account dies with him.  Not literally buried in the same casket, of course, but all those iTunes he has bought over the years will not be available to his family to play.  Now when I shrug this mortal coil my family will have a substantial amount of vinyl records and CDs to play or hawk on eBay, whatever - and I guess that Apple, Amazon and any other digital purveyor will have to get over it.  But anything I've bought on Apple etc may not be available.  Of course, unless I experience a dramatic reversal of artistic fortune I guess that Apple et al are more likely to hear of Mr Willis's demise than mine.  Bruce (I hope I can get away with using his first name) is apparently considering legal action, however at least one commentator reckons that the Apple claim to his music is at best bluster.  I'll leave it to the lawyers, at least it's an honourable topic to take to court.  Way better than arguing about who owns the right to apps bouncing back a fraction.  Or whether a rectangular phone with curved edges is legally cooler than other rectangular phones - with or without curved corners.

But this does need to be resolved.  eBooks are the future of reading, of that I'm sure.  However if there is doubt about legitimate ownership, as opposed to sharks and low-lives hawking other people's work on eBay for an unearned profit in 'compilations', then it will take longer to establish.  DRM probably isn't the answer and anyone who buys a book from Smashwords, for example, get that book DRM free.  Ultimately, the digital sellers have to realise that for years we've all had access to our parents' records and books and perhaps as kids that was what we listened to and read, but in the real grown up world we tend to listen and read our own generation.  Sure, it's a great nostalgia trip to go back to our parents' faves now and then, but most of us don't do that often or even willingly.

For the record, I think we chould be buying, not renting.

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I can be followed on Twitter too - @RayASullivan
or on Facebook - use raysullivan.novels@yahoo.com to find me

Why not take a look at my books and read up on my Biog here

Want to see what B L O'Feld is up to?  Take a look at his website here

Worried/Interested in the secretive world of DLFs?  Take a look at this website dedicated to DLFs here, if you dare!

Apple Plays Risk With eBooks

There's a board game that's sat in my cupboard gathering dust, not because it isn't very good, but because everyone thinks I grow horns as soon as the dice start rolling.  The game is called Risk and if you've never tried it then have a go.  Just make sure you don't play with someone who creates characters such as Barry Liam O'Feld, the megalomaniac evil genius anti hero of Project: Evil.


The idea of this game is to achieve world domination - there is no second place in Risk and definitely no such thing as a draw.  You play to  win.  Initially you are allocated countries randomly, to which you spread your limited 'armies' across.  Your competitors do likewise and then you wage war on each other.  The only vocabulary you need is the following few words: Stomp, stomp  stomp and stomp.  The attacker throws up to three dice and the defender chooses to throw up to two in defence.  Highest scoring attacking die is matched to highest scoring defending die, second highest attack versus remaining defender if applicable.  Throwing two sixes in attack is a great attack, two sixes in defence is superb, unbeatable.  Sounds easy, is easy, but requires the tactics of Sun Tzu and the luck of the Irish.  A good game lasts for hours, great games last for days.  That's probably the other reason it stays in the cupboard, come to think of it.

Anyway, it would appear that Apple have been burning the midnight oil playing Risk.  I mean, nobody is doubting that world domination is an aim of Apple and to be fair, they seem to be succeeding.  For starters, they've sold enough iPads since its launch two and half years ago to provide one to every three Americans. Or one to every Brit in the UK with change.  Their latest bid for world domination is through their Apple iBookstore distribution network, which has just added pretty much the whole of Central and South America from Mexico down to the tip of Chile, and New Zealand.  This takes their distribution to fifty individual countries worldwide and positions them ahead of their competitors as far as I can tell.

The Central and South American stores are a great move - the whole region is a major expanding collection of countries that are tipped to be highly influential Internationally in the near future and Apple have obviously recognised this.  There's an opportunity for Spanish and Portuguese language writers to gain greater exposure in these regions and in Europe, but also for English language writers to gain exposure to this wonderfully diverse range of countries.

The surprising addition, though, is New Zealand.  Not surprising that it should be included but that it wasn't already.  In September Apple's book sales were, in descending order of sales rank, from the US, Australia, UK then Canada - all predominantly English speaking (with a bit of Spanish and French thrown in for good luck).  I know New Zealand is a distinct and unique country to both Australia and the UK, but it is a no-brainer that it also shares many of the same qualities and characteristics of both of these countries.  I expect Apple will start seeing some great sales returns from New Zealand real soon.

In an unannounced aside, I note that Amazon have added Japan, ostensibly from the same broad geographical region as Australia and New Zealand, or at least that's how Risk sees it.  I understand that Australian eBook readers can use the UK Amazon site to buy books, not at all sure about NZ - but Amazon have no dedicated facility for either.

So I welcome all the new arrivals in the Apple community; Central America, South America and New Zealand.  I only have one question.  How did Apple get to New Zealand via South America?  In Risk you can only get there via Asia.  But win NZ and Australia and you have the safest continent on the board.  Amazon might want to think about that!

However Apple got there, I think they must have thrown a couple of sixes on the way.

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I can be followed on Twitter too - @RayASullivan
or on Facebook - use raysullivan.novels@yahoo.com to find me

Why not take a look at my books and read up on my Biog here

Want to see what B L O'Feld is up to?  Take a look at his website here

Worried/Interested in the secretive world of DLFs?  Take a look at this website dedicated to DLFs here, if you dare!

Thursday, 25 October 2012

Apple Targets Google

I don't know if you've noticed, but there's a three horse race going on right now.  In the lead, by a country mile, is Apple who have just this week notched up their 100,000,000th iPad sale.  100 million iPads! Just in case you were wondering why Apple is the richest company in the world right now.

Second place is being hacked out by Google and Amazon with their Nexus 7 and Kindle Fire offerings.  Amazon are on their second generation of the Fire and about to launch in the UK for £169 for the HD version or £129 for the lower spec offering.  The Nexus 7 kicks in at a notional £159 for the 8GB version, rising to £199 for the 16GB model.  I say notional because it appears the 8 gig version is now unavailable and the word on the street is that Google are muscling up to launch a 32 GB version, announcement in the next seven days.  My guess is that they will drop the price of the 16Gb to the price of the HD Fire or perhaps a tenner above.

So it would seem that Apple have two horses to outrun on the trot up to Christmas.  Well, obviously yes but in an incredible act of self denial, no.  First off, Apple have another competitor.  You may have noticed they have launched their own mini tablet, the iPad Mini.  Come on, you know I've mentioned it once or twice recently, as have one or two other bloggers.  Well, they've pitched the iPad mini at £269 for the 16GB version which is probably at least £20 more than it needs to be.  Apple estimate that they will sell five million iPad minis between launch and Christmas day but that the product will take 1 million full sized iPad sales away from them.  So there's one competitor not factored in above.

So why £269 for the iPad mini?  Well, given that the device is pretty much a shrunk version of the iPad 2, which costs £329, it is getting dangerously close to the price point where consumers will either choose to pay the difference for the full sized version or will choose to buy an alternative and cheaper product.  As I said above, it probably should have been pitched at £149, which is virtually the US price with VAT stuck on.  Apple want to differentiate their product from the others and have chosen to decide that the Nexus is their biggest threat.  So much so that they made overt negative references to the Google tablet in the iPad mini launch and,as far as I'm aware, didn't mention the Amazon Fire.

Is it just that the Fire doesn't present the same amount of commercial threat to Apple that Google do with the Nexus 7?  Maybe, but I think the price point is more critical - by being reassuringly more expensive, but hopefully (from their perspective) not excessively so, than the Nexus they are saying - hey, we're better than that device and only £60 more.  To identify against the Amazon Fire is to say, Hey, we're better than that device and only £100 more.  Which might seem reasonable but I'm not aware that the Nexus has made any major inroads into Apple's sales so far, however it was clear last Christmas that the Amazon Fire, launched in the November, did punch a hole in the Apple numbers in the US.

Hence Apple is targeting Google, because that makes their product seem less unreasonable.  However, if the 32 GB version of the Nexus is released and that pushes the 16GB price down a tad it will surely put the iPad under a lot of pressure.  Perhaps they've factored that in and are prepared to drop the price once the initial surge has taken place.

So where does this leave the consumer and for the betting fraternity, is the race already decided?  Well I think Apple will maintain their lead initially but may lose some ground if they keep the price so high.  I wouldn't disregard the Amazon Fire, either, even if Apple have.  They are promoting the Fire heavily on TV right now and offering a real good price for the device.  I'm not a fan of the concept of push advertising that comes with the Fire to keep the price down but understand a one-off fee of £10 removes that.  Don't know if that can be paid retrospectively or not, though.  The Nexus is a fine machine and one I'm enjoying on a daily basis, so deserves to be in the race.  If the 16GB drops in price then the pressure is really going to be on Apple and Amazon to compete, so perhaps Apple are right to target it.


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I can be followed on Twitter too - @RayASullivan
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Tuesday, 23 October 2012

iPad mini Launched in US

Well, I wasn't too far out in my guesses, admittedly inspired by a thousand other blogs and web articles.  An hour or so ago Apple unveiled the iPad mini as expected.  What wasn't expected was that Apple have taken a more liberal approach to pricing, in dollars anyway.

The basic iPad mini - 16GB, WiFi only - is being pitched at US$329.  I suspect that the competition from Google and Amazon have caused a few sleepless nights over in Appletown and have influenced the price.  In a fair world this price would translate to just over £200 UK given today's exchange rates, but I guess we may have to wait a bit longer to find out.  It's often the case that US products are sold Pound for Dollar over here.  If it is, then I think the mini will be well overpriced.

Doubling the capacity to 32GB increases the price by $100 and another ton of greenbacks doubles the capacity again to 64GB.  Now, if the conversion is fair that puts the 64GB version at under £350, which would be a steal, hence it's likely to be nearer £499, which isn't.

As expected there's 4G versions, at about $130 more per version, and they should start shipping a couple of weeks after the WiFi versions ship.  That'll be mid November, then, as the WiFi are scheduled to start shipping 2 November in the US.

As I suspected, there are two cameras so you can Skype and take photos.  Cool.  The screen is just sub 8 inch, as has been heavily rumoured.  Like the iPhone 5, and again as expected, the device comes with the new smaller form factor connector.  So a bit of Gnashing and Wailing going on.

Apple are believed to have ordered 10 million of the blighters and expect to sell 5 million between now and Christmas.  It's not all sweetness and light in Appletown, though, as they expect to lose a million full sized iPad sales as part of the 5 million mini iPads.  But I suspect they hope to dent a larger number of Amazon Fire and Google Nexus 7s in the process.

Maybe they will, but the UK pricing will be key.

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Why not take a look at my books and read up on my Biog here

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Sunday, 21 October 2012

Cheaper Books coming?

Some of you may have been following the lawsuit in the US - it's an anti-trust suit against the alleged fixing of eBook prices.  Possibly somebody over there has passed the decongestants around because it looks like the aroma of coffee is being smelled.  Which is better than smelling the lawyer testosterone aroma.

I've ranted on about eBook prices on several occasions before - I don't understand why books that have never needed to have a tree grown, felled, logged, sliced, pulped, bleached, transported and stored let alone printed, bound and distributed cost as much if not more than books that have.

Amazon shared the same viewpoint, probably not quite on the same page as me but certainly more so than say Apple.  They tried to discount digital versions of books but found themselves thwarted by the big book publishers, companies that apparently had Apple's tacit support.  The US government also thought eBooks should cost less than the paper based versions, so they launched a lawsuit that has ground on for quite a while now.  Three of the companies involved have rolled over in preference to engaging in lengthy litigation and are providing a fund that will be used to recompense people who have paid more than they should have done through Amazon.  Apparently refunds may be forthcoming from Barnes & Noble too.

I'm not getting too excited about the refunds - they're based around books on the New York Times bestseller lists since 2010 that have been sold at an artificially high price.  I don't know whether I've inadvertently bought one or more of these books but generally I only buy bestsellers at bargain prices.  If I did buy one, it would have been on the Kindle Deal of the Day, so probably wouldn't qualify for any refund. Plus, I'm not convinced this applies outside of the US anyway.

But this should help with eBooks finding their own natural market value.  I fully understand the concerns of traditional publishers regarding, say, piracy.  Take a look at eBay and you'll find no end of CDs being offered for sale crammed full of eBook titles from  mainstream authors, CDs the sellers insist don't breach eBay's strict piracy rules. Perhaps through some misguided belief that obtaining eBooks by some means, even God forbid through payment, confers the right to sell multiple copies through eBay.  The rest are just crooks, of course, as are the people who buy the discs.  But loading the price of eBooks to compensate for these pirate copies by overcharging law abiding eBook readers isn't fair.

I also suspect that the traditional booksellers have worked out that selling eBooks for the same price as the printed version means that there's a lot more money per book left over for sharing with authors.  Sorry, I mistyped 'fat, greedy, non-value adding pariahs' as 'author' by mistake.  Perhaps 'marketer' or 'middleman' would be a better word.  I suspect your favourite authors don't get much of the added cost, they only write the books after all.

So, with book publishers aware that price fixing is an offence they should be less likely to commit it.  Which means mainstream books should become more affordable in eBook form, which will help deter potential pirates as long as the price is reasonable.  It should also compel less well known authors to smell that coffee aroma that's floating around and make them, including myself, ensure that our prices are even more reasonable.  Which means you can afford more books, stimulating the eBook market even more.

For once, I quite like the lawyers hanging around.  Even the smell isn't too bad.

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Why not take a look at my books and read up on my Biog here

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UK Shocks Apple to the Core

In the US Bronze is on a countdown promotion starting Sunday 14th September 2025 at $0.99 for the eBook, rising to $1.99 on the 17th September before reverting to the full price of $2.99 on the 20th September.  All promotions commence at 8:00 am PDT on the stated days.

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There's been a raft of legal cases running over the last six months between Apple and Samsung.  It's all about design infringement, intellectual property rights and who has the coolest phone or tablet.  There's been three distinct rounds to this fight, and I suspect not all rounds were as fair as they could have been.

Apple think Samsung have stolen their ideas for a rectangular shaped smart phone with - wait for it - rounded corners.  I wasn't persuaded until I heard the corners argument, but now I think Apple have a point.  But that wasn't all - if you've ever used an iPhone, or looked enviously over the shoulder of someone who has one, then you may be aware that when flicking through pages of apps that when you reach the last page of app icons it bounces back a fraction.  No, I hadn't really noticed it until I read about it either.  Google have all the app icons half turning in unison at that point on the Nexus, so they should be OK.

Samsung think Apple have half inched some of their ideas too.  For non-UK readers, 'half inched' is Cockney rhyming slang for 'pinched' (stolen).  Obviously an Imperial slang term, I'm not sure what the metric equivalent is.

Anyway, round one of the legal battles started in South Korea where the judges decided both companies had liberally dipped into each others intellectual pockets to some degree.  To be fair, they awarded Apple more damages than they did to Samsung, but in terms of the earnings of these companies, a drop in the ocean.

Then Apple sued Samsung in a US court in front of twelve US jurors and that court found seriously in favour of the home team and damages of $1billion were awarded.  $1 billion!  More than I earn in a week, for goodness sake.  I don't want to incur the wrath of Apple by suggesting that they benefited unfairly on their own turf - after all, they now technically have $1 billion extra to spend in the courts - but I reckon they did.

Now the last of the three court cases has finished, in London.  The action in the High Court has dramatic consequences as it is applicable across the whole Eurozone apparently.  And that decision is that Apple were not wronged.  It even had the temerity to suggest that Apple may not even have been the first to suggest a rectangular shape with rounded corners.  It did suggest that Apple were officially cooler than Samsung, but I don't know if that ruling is binding. I think I may have to sit down for a while.

But here's the kicker for Apple.  They may have the $1 billion windfall from Samsung, but the UK court has ordered Apple to run adverts on its website and in selected newspapers stating that Samsung did not copy its registered tablet designs.

Apple can still appeal, to the UK Supreme Court.  Incidentally, Samsung still have the right of appeal in the US to the judgement that awarded $1 billion to Apple.  I suspect the likelihood of that appeal happening just increased by a huge margin after the UK decision  and will be certain as soon as Apple post those adverts!

$1 billion.  Core!

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In the US Bronze is on a countdown promotion starting Sunday 14th September 2025 at $0.99 for the eBook, rising to $1.99 on the 17th September before reverting to the full price of $2.99 on the 20th September.  All promotions commence at 8:00 am PDT on the stated days.

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Follow me on Twitter: @RayASullivan

email me at raysullivan.novels@yahoo.com

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Saturday, 20 October 2012

Nook Launch in UK

Barnes & Noble, who are apparently the largest bookseller in the world, are about to launch their best-selling Nook eReaders in the UK. And about time too.  This incursion into the UK has been rumoured for at least a year.  There was a time recently that it looked like B&N were going to hook up with British bookseller Waterstones.  That should have been a good fit - Waterstones have a high street presence and are highly regarded as a bookseller.  They have also been hit by the rise in eBooks - show me a bricks and mortar bookshop that hasn't - and they were very critical a year ago about Amazon and in particular the Kindle eReader family.

So it was a bit of a surprise earlier this year when they decided to hook up with Amazon to sell their products in store.  Incidentally they also have an eBook store that only seems to sell EPUB books that won't run on Kindle devices but should on virtually every other device, including the Nook range.  This is like a  Ford dealer selling GM parts only!

Obviously something didn't gel between B&N and Waterstones so that rumour ended, however the whispers of a UK launch have continued.  A couple of weeks ago B&N sent out a press release stating that they would be in UK stores and although their website indicates that the release is still imminent it looks like they are here now.  The stores selling the Nook products are:  Argos - the no-frills catalogue store; Blackwells, the academic bookstore; Foyles, a London based independent bookstore; Sainsburys, the major supermarket chain;  Currys/PC World, the major UK digital equipment retailer; John Lewis, the classy department store chain and its supermarket arm Waitrose.  Some of these are touting the products online right now.

Initially it is the e-Ink devices being sold first, the Simple Touch and the GlowLight, pitched at £79 and £109 apiece.  Disappointingly the Nook HD and HD+ aren't slated for release just yet - before the Christmas buying season would be good but the lack of a release date makes me wonder if they will make it in time - and the proposed pricing isn't looking too promising (from £159 for the 7 inch version) in the light of the Amazon Kindle Fire release announced a few days ago.

So, should we be jumping for joy at another eReader device?  Well, yes.  For starters, the Nook range comes highly recommended and the basic units are priced competitively.  They also use EPUB, so you can buy eBooks from a multitude of sources and load them up.  Like all the best eReaders they let you download wirelessly direct from the B&N bookstore, which unfortunately doesn't appear to be up and running over here yet, but you will also be able to buy books from the other stores too and transfer them by USB.  I suspect that most books available in one store is also available in the rest, but you may get price variations you can take advantage of.

I personally think everyone should have an e-Ink eReader; a Nook, Kindle, Kobo, whatever.  They are usable in daylight and the batteries last forever, or at least a month, and are an affordable route into the world of eBooks.  I don't know about you, but I've detected a shift in opinion on the whole eBook/eReader thing over the last few months.  I'm not getting the 'I prefer to read real books' speech from people who've never actually tried an eReader, but I am getting a lot of questions from persons previously resistant to the concept.   I also think this is the last year e-Ink devices will sell in serious numbers, perhaps more than ever before, but the potential of the multi-functional tablets will take over completely by this time next year.

In the meantime, why not take advantage of the increased competition provided by the Nook range to introduce yourself or a friend to eReaders this season.  It may not be your last chance, but perhaps your best chance to hammer out a deal.


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Why not take a look at my books and read up on my Biog here

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Thursday, 18 October 2012

Keep Taking the Tablets

Microsoft are finally joining the tablet gold rush - fashionably late I'd say, but welcome all the same.  Part of me thinks that we don't need another tablet, let alone another tablet operating system, but there is a huge hole in the market that Microsoft should be able to fill - more of that below.

According to sources, or other blogs as insiders like to call them, Microsoft are holding a launch of their new product, the Surface, on the 26th of October, presumably 2012.  Furthermore it appears that Microsoft have put in orders for between 3 and 5 million units.  In terms of media estimates that leaves a bit of elbow room for inspired guesswork, but let's assume it's accurate.  Heck, let's go the whole hog and assume the upper bound is right.  That's a fair amount of new tablets hitting the market sometime soon.

The estimate is also the same as Google have apparently placed for their Nexus 7.  It's unclear whether that includes the units they've shifted since launching in the summer.  If it is I'd like to point out that I've had two of them, the first had to go back because of a faulty speaker.  So it may be less than 5 million that we have to count, maybe 4,999,998, but still a lot.

Amazingly, rumour control has Amazon ordering 3 to 5 million units of the Kindle Fire as well.  Is it me, or are the Far East manufacturers only taking orders in multiples of 3 and 5 million?  Assuming all of this is correct, it appears that between Microsoft, Google and Amazon they've put in orders for between 9 and 15 million tablet computers.

But of course we're forgetting Apple.  They've sent an invitation out to the industry for next Tuesday, 23 October.  Not sure when, my invite hasn't arrived yet.  I just know it will be in ATZ (Appleworld Time Zone) so probably Wednesday 24 October here in the UK.  What the rumour mill has revealed is that even Apple have to keep to the Far Eastern tablet ordering convention, as they are rumoured to have ordered 10 million units, which fits in with the earlier rule, demonstrates who is expecting to be the front-runner in this race and oddly doesn't have any elbow room.

So that's between 19 and 25 million tablet computers on order.  And an estimated 4,500,275 metres of gift wrap.  Shares in Microsoft, Google, Amazon and Apple are likely to riding high right now, so either invest in gift wrap or start selling it off the back of a wagon!

Anyway, back to the Microsoft Surface tablet.  Ordinarily I'd say that between IOS and Android there's plenty of tablet operating systems to go around.  One less would be plain wrong, normally one more would be fragmenting the industry unnecessarily.  Look at it like automobile transmission systems - essentially you have manual shift and automatic.  Both propel the car forward and backward adequately, allow for plenty of design flair with the rest of the car and generally polarise the owners.  Anything other than these two types, such as semi-automatic, tend not to be that successful. And anyway, Microsoft OS launches just don't set the world on fire in the way they used to.

But there's a crying need to drag tablets away from the fun, domestic use beasts they excel at into the business world.  I've watched, in great pain it has to be said, techs and other assorted geeks (I use the term with great affection obviously) as they have jumped through hoops more times than an Olympic gymnast to interface iPads with a business (MS Server) intranet.  It works too, as long as you don't mind allocating a geek to every six or so iPads full time.  And don't mind half of your business  applications not working.  I haven't watched anyone attempt the same trick with an Android device, but expect it's as effective.

So a Microsoft tablet should plug the gap that Apple and Android are struggling to fit.  Obviously Apple would suggest dumping the Microsoft networks virtually everyone outside of publishing and design use, but that isn't going to happen.  I don't think Android has a plan B for business applications.  Hopefully Microsoft have got the OS and the tablet right, because the world of work is waiting for this to happen.  Who knows, Microsoft may need to increase their order numbers.  In multiples of three and five millions, remember?

Now, pass me the tablets. My head hurts.

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Why not take a look at my books and read up on my Biog here

Want to see what B L O'Feld is up to?  Take a look at his website here

Worried/Interested in the secretive world of DLFs?  Take a look at this website dedicated to DLFs here, if you dare!

Sunday, 14 October 2012

Kindle Paperwhite - Future or Past?

Amazon have been very busy this last week.  In fact they've been very busy all year, probably, but this week has seen them announce not one but two new eReaders in the UK.  First off is the much awaited and frequently erroneously announced Kindle Fire.  Originally launched in the US nearly a year ago it has been tipped on some blogs as being due here last January, then March and finally definitely Summer.  Pah, where do these bloggers get their information from?

Anyway, Amazon have announced that the second version of the Fire is going to be launched October 25th and is being pitched at between £129 and £159 depending on the version.  Plus an extra tenner if you don't want Amazon adverts pushed onto the home screen.  I'm not sure how that will pan out over here - it seemed to be accepted in the US, but we Brits are a tad conservative over things like this.  For me, I'd probably consider one £10 payment to be acceptable to eradicate what could be years of unwanted ads.

The pricing is very good, anyway.  It trounces the pricing for Google's Nexus 7, so it will be interesting to see how Google react to that.  But I don't think Google are Amazon's main target. Apple are.  Apple must be having tons of meetings right now to decide on how much to pitch the iPad mini at - they tie their own hands behind their own backs by always pricing gear at £x49 and £y99 price points, where x and y are usually unreasonably largish numbers like 4 or 5 when considering iPads and iPhones, however if they pitch the mini too close to the normal iPad price there will be little incentive to buy it, and too high above the Amazon offering will have a similar effect that boosts Amazon sales too.  I think a £199 iPad mini is more likely now thanks to Amazon than it was before.  £249 is also likely, but anything higher is chancing their arm.

The other announcement from Amazon is the launch of the Kindle Paperwhite.  This is a traditional eReader, that is it can be read in sunlight and has a battery life that lasts close to the life of the universe.  It also has built in lights so that it can be read in the dark, probably the major limitation of this technology in the past, much like real books.  The built in light isn't that innovative - Nook's have been doing it for months - but it does fill in a perceived gap in the Kindle range.  But like the paper based books the Paperwhite seems to trying to replace, it is probably as doomed.  The pricing isn't that keen - £109 for the basic WiFi and an incredible £169 for the 3G version so if you're strapped for cash, go for the basic Fire, otherwise stretch to the HD version would be my advice.  OK, you can read the Paperwhite outside and in the dark, but to be fair I don't do either of those two activities that often, individually or together.  It's not that I'm against the Kindle eReaders - I've used one for two years now and it felt like the future at first, in fact it's been a great journey, but one trick ponies have a natural life cycle.  I expect I'll still be using my Kindle for years, but I doubt I'll ever replace it with another e-ink device.  Now my Nexus - I suspect I'll always have a tablet close to hand for the rest of my natural.

Amazon have a comprehensive line up as we approach the holiday season, or Christmas as we insist on calling it in secular Britain.  I'm sure they will do well, but I think tablets will outsell e-ink devices by a significant margin this year and I suspect that next Christmas the Amazon line up will be quite different. They'll probably persist with e-ink devices for a few more years, but don't expect any major developments beyond internal lighting and I expect they will quietly drop them over time.

The real battle over the next two months will be around tablets, with e-ink devices running a very poor second.  Next year it will be all about tablets.

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Why not take a look at my books and read up on my Biog here

Want to see what B L O'Feld is up to?  Take a look at his website here

Worried/Interested in the secretive world of DLFs?  Take a look at this website dedicated to DLFs here, if you dare!